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Saturday, December 26, 2015

Pass the ball

A major concern of Reserve Bank Governor Raghuram Rajan has been the slow transmission of policy rates by banks to their customers. Since the rate reduction cycle that commenced[ku'men(t)s(start,शुरू)] in January, less than half of the cumulative policy repo rate reduction of 125 bps has been transmitted by banks, he says. For borrowers, the median base lending rate has declined only by 60 bps though many banks slashed deposit rates by up to 125-150 points.

The RBI has been urging[ur-jing(forcing,दबाव डालना)] banks to pass on the benefit arising from repo rate cut to borrowers but with little success. The central bank then decided to change the structure of calculation of lending rate. In short, it followed the motto: change the system if the system doesn’t work. The Marginal Cost of Funds based Lending Rate (MCLR) announced by the RBI last week is not only expected to improve the transmission of policy rates into the lending rates of banks, but also set to improve transparency in the methodology followed by banks for determining interest rates.

Bankers say the RBI is expected to ensure availability of bank credit at interest rates which are fair to the borrowers as well as banks. Further, RBI says marginal cost pricing of loans will help banks become more emulous[e-myu-lus(competitive,प्रतिस्पर्धी)] and enhance their long run value and contribution to economic growth.

For monetary transmission to happen, lending rates have to be sensitive to the policy rate. Currently, banks espouse[e'spawz(follow,अनुकरण)] different methodologies for computing their base rate, the minimum lending rate. While some use the average cost of funds method, some have adopted the marginal cost of funds while others use the blended cost of funds (liabilities) method. The RBI deduced that Base Rates based on marginal cost of funds are more sensitive to changes in the policy rates. “While these (MCLR) guidelines will benefit the new customers, existing customers will also have an option to shift to the new regime[rey'zheem(rule,शाशन)] with some conditions. Sufficient time has been given to banks to switch over to the new regime. We have moved closer to international manner of benchmark rates,” SBI chief Arundhati Bhattacharya said.

How it works

All rupee denominated loans from April 1, 2016 will be linked to MCLR which will be calculated by banks on a monthly basis. Unlike the current base rate system, MCLR will be a tenor[te-nu(high,उच्च)] linked internal benchmark, which addresses major inefficiencies of the current system.

Banks will review and publish their MCLR of different maturities every month on a pre-announced date. The RBI has prescribed that banks should publish the internal benchmark for maturities: Overnight, one-month, 3 -month, 6-month and one-year MCLR. Banks will publish their MCLR of different maturities every month on a pre-announced date. The MCLR will comprise of marginal cost of funds, negative carry on account of cash reserve ratio, operating costs and tenor premium. Banks will add the spread to MCLR to factor in the credit risk or market conditions while pricing any loan.

The MCLR prevailing[pri'vey-ling(very common,प्रचलित)] on the day the loan is sanctioned will be applicable till the next reset date, irrespective of the changes in the benchmark during the interim period. The verbatim[vur'bey-tim(exact,सही)] periodicity of reset will form part of the terms of loan contracts and must be of one year or lower. Banks will continue to review and publish base rate along with the MCLR. Existing loans and credit limits linked to the base rate may continue till repayment or renewal.

The RBI has accepted the major demand of banks by not linking base rate linked existing loans to new MCLR regime. “As a consequence[kón-si-kwun(t)s(result,परिणाम)], we see minimal impact on the net interest margin (NIM) of banks due to shifting to new lending rate regime. Although new MCLR will be linked to marginal cost of funding but components like tenor premium, operational expenses and credit risk premium are within banks’ control,” said a review by Reliance Securities.

“The focus on asset liability management, higher competition due to potentially higher demand for refinancing and reduced flexibility in loan pricing will put pressure on bank’s margins,” said an analyst with Prabhudas Lilladher. Banks with higher share of fixed rate loan portfolio and/or higher proportion of loans at the longer end will stand to benefit while banks with higher share of loans at short end will likely face yield[yee(-u)ld(give,देना)] pressure.

How customers benefit

Home and personal loan customers saw the RBI slashing repo rate by 125 points in 2015, but this benefit did not reach them in full in terms of a lower equate monthly installment (EMI) on their loans. The new system will be closer to the reality on the ground and the customer gets an idea about the rate structure more periodically. While several MCLR rates would increase operational expenses for banks, borrowers can look at the option of refinancing activity more frequently as they are likely to borrow at shorter end where the MCLR rate is lower due to lower premium.

Customers will see a fall in EMI at a faster pace when the RBI cuts the repo rate as banks will have to revise MCLR of different maturities every month on a pre-announced date. The method of calculation is clearly defined and pellucid[pu'loo-sid(transparent,स्पष्ठ)] and banks can’t dilly-dally[di-li'da-lee(postpone,टालना)] on revising the lending rate whenever the RBI cuts the Repo rate. It will be tout de suite(immediately,तुरंत)] reflected in the monthly MCLR calculation.

“We expect short tenure[ten-yu(period,समय)] MCLR of banks will be 50-120 bps below their current base rate and will help them to get back the business they had lost to the money market due to the introduction of base rate regime in 2010. Under the new MCLR system, banks are allowed to charge a differential rate for short tenure loans, which will help them to compete with money market for corporate borrowings,” said an analyst.

Both the old system and MCLR will eventually merge. “The sense I am getting is it is historical and there is a future. Future has to be on marginal based and historical can continue the way it’s. That’s fair. At some point of time, history will get over and we will move to marginal,” said Uday Kotak, Vice Chairman and MD of Kotak Mahindra Bank.

Interestingly, the RBI has raised the possibility of a benchmark gaining traction on the lines of LIBOR (London Inter Bank Offered Rate). “They (RBI) have also made one thing clear. If the banks lend at external benchmark, it does not need to follow marginal cost of lending. RBI has actually opened up that window. Of course we will look at benchmarks like MIBOR (Mumbai Inter-Bank Offer Rate) or something like Treasury Bills or government securities,” Kotak said.

According to bankers and analysts, there are still some grey areas. They say tenor premium has not been defined by the RBI and there’s no clarity on whether MCLR will be based on the overall cost of funds or the cost of funds for a particular maturity segment. Further, banks still enjoy discretion[di'skre-shun(free will,मनमाना)] in spreads and operating cost. That said, the RBI’s plan of speeding up monetary transmission is expected to show the desired results and customers can enjoy repricing of loans and faster changes in rate transmission.

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